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The 2020 Vision Project

2020 was one for the history books - we started the year living a relatively normal life, only to be thrown a few months later into the first of many lockdowns, where terms like 'social distancing' and 'essential services' that we had previously never heard of, became common language. Everywhere you looked, people were talking about how unprecedented the events of the year were. 


The Challenge

Would the year 2020 change us? And how? Would new habits formed in lockdown become a part of normal life? Were previous non-negotiables relegated to 'pre-Covid' life? While it was a scary time and no one knew what the world would look like next week, next month or next year, researchers and behavioural scientists were giddy. The changes to peoples live were so unexpected, drastic and widespread, the opportunity to gain insights into how people were feeling and behaving was huge.

 

It felt like an issue too important to our wellbeing and economy to ignore, and one which NeuroSpot founder Cole Armstrong and fellow researcher (and Director of Clarity Insight) Mark Finnegan took on amid Level-4 lockdown, creating The 2020 Vision Project. The project is supported by TrustpowerDynata and Hunch.

 

The 2020 Vision Project aimed to find out how the events of 2020 would change consumers behaviour and attitudes, to help brands understand what has changed and where opportunities may lie.


The Solution

A longitudinal study was set up, with 30 New Zealanders recruited and interviewed over the course of 2020.

 

The participants were interviewed via Zoom three times - midway through the first Level 4 lockdown, once the restrictions eased, and then a few months later, shortly after community transmission returned and Auckland was sent into Level 3 lockdown once more. Toward the end of 2020 a survey was sent to the participants to unearth some concluding insights.

 

Of the benefits of the longitudinal study, Cole Armstrong says:


"By interviewing the same group multiple times, we were able to gather insight to work out which changes people made over the year were fleeting (such as daily walks with our bubble and baking bread) and which might stick around longer (like working from home and a greater preference for online shopping). We were able to really build a bond with the participants over the course of the study, and so some of the more typical walls that a consumer may put up during qualitative studies disappeared, so we really got to know and understand the person, which added a lot of value to the findings of the study".


The Results

The result is a wealth of information that depicts the mood of New Zealanders throughout 2020. Key outtakes for organisations are:


  • Consumers now have a greater sensitivity to fairness
  • A need to truly grasp how terms are being understood by consumers – ‘buy local’ for example had a range of different understandings. Something so simple is actually quite complicated.
  • The need for brands to be clear about their brand identity. Be loud on issues relevant to your brand, but be brave enough to stay silent when you’re not relevant – don’t piggy back on a cause as a marketing opportunity.
  • Always focus on customer relevancy and adding value. Customers were prepared for MVP solutions, as long as they could see the value in their own life. Equally customers were scathing where they felt that their interests weren’t the focus.

 

While the world still grapples with Covid-19 and the vaccine rollout continues internationally, the country's borders remain largely closed: life is still not the same as it was pre-Covid, and many of the insights found are still relevant today. The experience has highlighted the importance of having a strong and effective brand. Where previously companies might have been able to mask some of the less effective features, Covid-19 really brought to life the small mistakes that brands were getting away with. 


Visit www.the2020vision.co.nz for full insights from each wave of the study and associated articles. If you're interested in the project, or have questions around how the insights could help your organisation, get in touch.

By Cole Armstrong September 4, 2024
In recent discussions about customer behaviour, a recurring theme has emerged: the belief that providing more information will lead to better decision-making (“If only they knew … then they would …”). While this perspective isn't entirely misplaced, it overlooks a crucial nuance. It's not merely what people know that drives their behaviour, but rather what information is most salient and readily springs to mind in the moment of decision. The Limitation of Knowledge Alone It's easy to assume that if customers simply knew more, they would make better decisions. For instance, knowing how to budget effectively or save money can indeed be useful. Knowing that I should save more for retirement or for investments. That I should eat less red meat for health or sustainability reasons. That I should be careful about what information I share online. These are all real-life examples of issues I’ve worked on where educating customers (or users) might have been a solution – and where helping people ‘know’ why they should do it failed to shift the needle. The critical factor isn't just having the information, but rather how accessible and prominent that information is when it’s needed. The question then is not do I know something, but rather does it spring to mind when it can actually shape my decisions? The Salience of Information in Decision-Making Consider a scenario where a customer interacts with a product or service. The decision-making process is often instantaneous and intuitive, driven by what immediately comes to mind rather than a comprehensive evaluation of all known benefits. This means that the information most salient at the moment—whether it's the immediate cost or a specific feature—has a more significant impact than the general knowledge a customer might have. As an example, I was involved in a project where my client was responding to new environmental regulations – and wanted to find out how to do this without upsetting their customers. The initial solution didn’t work because what was salient – and thus impacted customers responses – was the benefit to the brand not the benefit to the environment. While both benefits were ‘known’ by customers, it wasn’t till small tweaks were made to subtly emphasise and customer support for such actions, that complaints dropped off. A Case in Point: Council Rates Another example where this idea is relevant are the rates (tax) bills that New Zealanders receive from their local council. While residents might be well aware of the benefits their rates support—such as parks, libraries, and community services—this knowledge doesn’t always translate into a positive reaction when the bill arrives. For many, the first thing that springs to mind is the expense, not the benefits. In my case, receiving a $1,000 council rates bill (these are billed quarterly) was a stark reminder of this phenomenon. Despite understanding the value provided by these rates, the immediate focus was on the financial burden. If the benefits were more salient at the time of billing, the experience could be more positive. For instance, if the rates bill included a summary of the value received from various services—like a breakdown showing the value I obtain from the library based on the number of books borrowed—this could shift the focus from the cost to the benefits. In my case, borrowing 35 books over three months at an estimated value of $30 each amount to $1,050 worth of benefits, which highlights the value received far beyond the cost. And of course there are other services that I use as well – my local park that I go running in, the playgrounds that I take my kids to, the roads I drive along or the public transport that is subsidised. I ‘know’ these things, but do they immediately spring to mind when I see my rates bill? Seizing the Opportunity This concept of salience extends beyond council rates. In various customer interactions—such as bills, invoices, loyalty schemes, and product renewals—the opportunity lies in enhancing the salience of positive attributes at the critical moment of engagement. To effectively leverage this understanding, organisations should focus on making the benefits of their products or services more prominent when customers are most engaged and in a way that is relevant to the context. This means designing communications and touchpoints that highlight the value received, not just the cost or features.  While knowledge is important, it's the salience of that knowledge at the moment of decision that truly influences behaviour. By ensuring that the most relevant and positive information is top-of-mind, organisations can improve customer satisfaction and decision-making outcomes.
By Cole Armstrong July 24, 2024
Navigating the Shifting Landscape of Design
By Cole Armstrong March 15, 2024
How do we create persuasive touchpoints that make a difference? By considering how simple ways of reframing our messages, using insights from psychology and behavioural science, can create greater motivation to act.
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